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KMID : 1170320100160030139
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Korean Journal of Health Economics and Policy
2010 Volume.16 No. 3 p.139 ~ p.161
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The Future Requirements and Supply of Registered Nurses in Korea
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Oh Young-Ho
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Abstract
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Purpose: With recognition of increases in the older population and chronic disease patients, the Korean government has been actively promoting the expansion of long-term care facilities. The successful implementation of these policies, however, necessitates an adequate training and supply of registered nurses. Therefore, this study aims to forecast the supply and demand for registered nurse for policy implications.
Method: Baseline Projection model combined with demographic method is adopted as the supply forecasting method and so is a derivative demand method called Health Resources and Services Administration’s demographic utilization-based model.
Results: The results of this study show that the shortage and surplus of registered nurses might depend on the scenarios of their productivity. Under the ’scenario 3’, productivity of registered nurses in 2007, which do not consider future government policies, there will be a surplus of 4,683 ∼ 10,363 registered nurses in 2010 and an undersupply of 18,783 ∼ 29,349 registered nurses in 2020.
Conclusions: The seemingly supply shortage can be resolved if we succeeds in attracting available unemployed nurses into labor market since the size of the nursing shortage is just 8 percent of the total number of available registered nurses. However, the Korean government should develop policies that can better utilize available unemployed nurses and increase the entrance quota of nursing colleges.
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KEYWORD
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registered nurse workforce, registered nurse demand, registered supply, health workforce policy
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